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Career
College Association
Trends, Policies and Issues
Reauthorization
– 2003
Nicholas
J. Glakas
National Council of Higher Education Loan Programs
Sarasota, Florida
January 9, 2003
The
Global Education Markplace
A few facts . . .
Education
… A Few Facts
Education
spending in the United States is $750 billion and worldwide is over
$2 trillion.
Higher
education is a $250 billion market in the United States.
More
money is spent in the United States on education than in any other industry
with the exception of health care. Annual expenditures are more
than Social Security and defense combined.
Globally,
84 million students attend 20,000 colleges and universities.
66
million adults and more than 50% of all employed persons participate
in some form of continuing education.
Less
than 25% of U.S. adults have a B.A. or higher.
Education
… A Few More Facts
Over
half a million foreign students study in the United States and spend
$13 billion.
India,
China and South Korea are the top places of origin for foreign students
studying in the United States in 2001-02. Combined they sent almost
180,000 students to the United States.
Global
demand for higher education is forecast to reach 160 million students
in 2025.
In
1950, approximately 30% of all jobs in the United States required skilled
labor; today, 85% of jobs require skilled labor.
There are 9,485
postsecondary institutions in the U.S. Forty-seven percent (4,463)
are career schools, institutes, colleges and universities.
There are 6,431 Title IV participating institutions in the U.S.
Thirty-seven
percent are career schools, institutes, colleges and universities.
Size
of Global Education and Training Market
Global education and training market: $2 trillion
U.S. market: $750
billion
U.S. higher education market: $250 billion
Students:
42 million (1990); 97 million (2010)
U.S. online higher education market (2001): $4.5 billion
U.S. online
higher education market (2005): $11 billion
U.S. corp.
& government training market: $100 billion
Global corp.
& government learning market: $300 billion
Source: ThinkEquity Partners, Eduventures.
Major
Sectors in the U.S. Economy
100%
$7,790
Total GDP
4.0%
$272
Defense
5.0%
$336
Social Security
9.5%
$740
Education
14.1%
$949
Health
% of GDP
$ Billions
Education =
$2 trillion global market!
Source: Credit Suisse First Boston
The
Evolving Higher Education Marketplace
The higher education market is huge…
Globally, 84 million students and 20,000 colleges and universities; in the U.S., 16 million students and 9,500 colleges and universities
Higher education is a $250 billion market in the U.S.
And growing …
Domestic undergraduate enrollments will increase by 13% in the next decade to 21.2 million by 2010
College less of a choice and more of a “must-have”
With significant demand imbalance…
U.S. is
only 1 of 10 countries providing a college education to 1/3 or more
of their college-age populations
Source: ThinkEquity Partners, National Science Foundation
Education Counts
Salary Gap
between Male High School and College Graduates
Educational
Attainment Outcomes
Source: National Center for Education Statistics
The Need for Skilled Workers
% of Jobs Requiring
Skilled Workers
Source: ThinkEquity Partners
The
Need for Skilled Workers
75%
25%
Less than 25% of U.S. Adults 25 and Older have a Bachelor’s Degree
or Higher
Source: ThinkEquity Partners
Higher
Education Landscape
66 million adults and more than 50% of all employed persons participate in some form of continuing education
56% of the workforce, or 66 million people, is without an advanced degree
Number of corporate “universities” skyrocketed from 400 in 1988 to over 2,000 today, including 40% of Fortune 500 companies
More than 60%
of corporate universities have alliances with institutions of higher
education, increasing to 85% by 2003
Source: ThinkEquity Partners
Global
Higher Education Landscape
Over 500,000 foreign students, or 3.5% of total postsecondary enrollees, study in the U.S. and spend $13 billion
America educates one-third of all foreign students
For every foreign student studying in the U.S., there are three to five students who would consume U.S. education online, if they had the access or the resources
Potential of 1.6 million international distance learning candidates
Global demand for higher education forecast to reach 160 million students in 2025
Conservatively,
45 million users of online higher education
Source: ThinkEquity Partners
Number
of International Students at U.S. Colleges & Universities 1975-2002
Source: Institute for International Education, Open Doors 2002.
Number
of International Students at U.S. Colleges & Universities From Top
Ten Places of Origin, 2001-02
Source: Institute for International Education, Open Doors 2002.
Future
Demographic Trends
OVER THE NEXT
50 YEARS:
U.S. population will grow by 50%
275 million in 2002
395 million
in 2050
Immigration
will increase by 80 million
Under 17 population
= 100 million or 1 in 4
Elderly population
will double = 20% of total population
Racial Mix
White 50% of the U.S. population
Hispanic 25%
Black 15%
Asian 10%
The
For-Profit Sector
The
Career College Association is a voluntary membership organization of
private, postsecondary schools, institutes, colleges and universities
that provide career-specific educational programs. CCA’s 1,000
members educate and support more than a million students each year for
employment in over 200 occupational fields.
CCA
member institutions cover the full gamut of postsecondary education:
from short-term certificate and diploma programs, to two- and four-year
associate and baccalaureate degrees, to master’s and doctoral programs.
Most
CCA member institutions participate in federal student financial assistance
programs under Title IV of the Higher Education Act.
In
addition, over the past four years CCA’s Foundation has provided more
than 17,000 scholarships to high school graduates attending CCA member
schools, institutes, colleges and universities.
Size
of the the U.S. Postsecondary For-Profit Sector
There are 9,485
postsecondary institutions in the U.S. Forty-seven percent (4,463)
are career schools, institutes, colleges and universities.
There are 6,431
Title IV participating institutions in the U.S. Thirty-seven percent
(2,355) are career schools, institutes, colleges and universities.
Source: National
Center For Education Statistics, Postsecondary Institutions in the United
States: 1993-94 and 1998-99.
Non-Profit and For-Profit Distinctions in Higher
Education
Non-Profit
Tax-exempt
Donors
Endowment
Stakeholders
Shared governance
Prestige Motive
Cultivation of knowledge
Discipline-driven
Quality of inputs
Faculty power
For-Profit
Tax-paying
Investors
Private investment capital
Stockholders
Traditional management
Profit motive
Application of learning
Market-driven
Quality of outcomes
Customer power
Source: Richard Ruch, Higher Education, Inc., The Rise of the For-Profit University. Baltimore: The John Hopkins University Press, 2001.
Postsecondary
Education Companies
Bachelor’s
– Doctorate
133,700
65
Apollo
Group/U. of Phoenix
Non-degree
– Doctorate
39,000+
40
Education
Management Corp.
Diploma
– Doctorate
9,000
22
Whitman
Education Group, Inc.
Associate’s
– Master’s
16,500
20
Strayer
Education, Inc.
Diploma
– Bachelor’s
20,000
44
Kaplan
Higher Education
Associate’s
- Bachelor’s
33,000
74
ITT
Educational Services, Inc.
Associate’s
– Master’s
56,000
26
DeVry,
Inc.
Diploma
– Master’s
35,000
63
Corinthian
Colleges, Inc.
Diploma
– Master’s
50,400
43
Career
Education Corp.
Programs
Enrollment
Total
#
of Campuses
Company
The
Reauthorization of the Higher Education Act
CCA Reauthorization Preparations
CCA’s
Reauthorization Preparations
Identified our key issues for reauthorization
Finalizing legislative handbook for CCA membership & Capitol Hill
Three key studies completed or ongoing
Submitted
key issues at the request of House Education Subcommittee
Prepared a CCA Board-approved strategic lobbying plan
Being updated quarterly
Discussed at all CCA speaking engagements
Implemented
by CCA members and staff
Established a reauthorization budget
Will cover costs of various studies
Will include regional dinners and reauthorization workshops
Additional
amount retained in reserve
Formalized input from membership
President’s Advisory Council
Small College Advisory Council
Entire
CCA membership review of issues
Assembled a coordinating council of Washington representatives
Monthly meetings of this Legislative Advisory Council.
Lobbying teams created based on issues of interest
CCA’s
Reauthorization Preparations (continued)
Implemented a grassroots lobbying effort.
Legislative Action Network in operation
Goal of 200 CCA members for Hill Day
Total CCA
member involvement during reauthorization
Effective PAC Operations
100 CCA members
CCAPAC
contributed to 81 Congressional candidates in 2001-2002.
Excellent relations with key participants in Reauthorization
White House
Senate and House Leadership
Congressional Education Committees and staff
Department of Education
State Associations
Key Business Associations
Selective
Higher Education Associations.
The
Reauthorization of the Higher Education Act
CCA Reauthorization Issues
CCA
Reauthorization - Issues
Transfer of Credit (study)
Return of Federal Funds (study)
90-10 (study)
Financial Responsibility
Single Definition of Higher Ed Institution
Federal Investment (Loan Limits)
Provisional Certification
Judicial Review
Reauthorization
– Issues (continued)
50% Telecommunications Rule
Accountability
Probably off the table:
12-Hour Rule
Incentive Compensation
Transfer
of Credit
Issue: CCA’s Foundation commissioned
the Institute for Higher Education Policy to study the relationship
between credit transfer of students who attend nationally accredited
institutions to regionally accredited institutions. The study found
a strong pattern of full acceptance of credit for virtually all institutions
that are regionally accredited, but acceptance for only a small percentage
of institutions accredited by national accrediting bodies.
CCA Proposal:
Revise section 1094(a) to add a new required condition in the program
participation agreement signed by institutions participating in the
Title IV student aid programs as follows: (25) The institution will
not exclude transfers of credit earned by students completing courses
of programs from other eligible institutions of higher education on
the basis of the agency or association that accredits such institutions,
provided that the agency or association is recognized by the Secretary
pursuant to Subpart 2 of Part H of this Act, and will base decisions
on whether to accept such credits solely on whether the courses or programs
are equivalent in content to those offered by the institution and the
student has completed the course or program at the required level of
proficiency.
Revise section 1099b(a) to add a new required recognition criterion for accrediting agencies:
(9)
such agency or association shall not adopt or apply standards, policies
or practices that restrict transfers of credits between eligible institutions
of higher education as defined by this Act that are accredited by an
agency or association recognized by the Secretary under this Subpart.
Return
of Title IV Funds
Issue: Return
of Federal Funds has been one of the most controversial provisions of
the 1998 reauthorization. CCA has commissioned a major study to
determine the extent of harm to students and institutions.
CCA Proposal:Use
the results of the study and its simulation model to develop specific
proposals. Anticipated completion the end of January.
90-10
Rule
Issue:
As part of the 1998 HEA Amendments, Congress modified the 85-15 rule
to allow no more than 90% of a proprietary institution’s revenue to
be derived from Title IV. Subsequently, the Department of Education
changed the definitions of eligible revenue to make compliance more
difficult.
CCA Proposal: CCA has contracted with the American Economics Group for a comprehensive study of the effect of the 90-10 rule on students and institutions. Upon completion of the 90-10 study, CCA will determine the alternative proposals that have the greatest aggregate benefits for the largest number of institutions and students.
Financial
Responsibility
Issue: The higher education
community and the Department of Education have gained five years of
experience in applying the financial responsibility regulations adopted
in November 1997. While the regulations have been an improvement
over the requirements previously used to measure financial responsibility,
there are still serious problems with the manner in which the Department
judges the financial stability of institutions.
CCA Proposal: Only historic goodwill
should be used in determining the ratios and calculating the composite
score; additional goodwill booked as a consequence of an acquisition
would not be deducted. After an acquisition, this additional goodwill
would be recognized on a gradual basis over a five-year period. This
treatment of goodwill would be conditioned on the acquirer being creditworthy
at the time of the acquisition as measured by the strength factors for
its primary reserve and equity ratios.
The language of the statute should clearly state that the Secretary will permit accounting treatments that are in accordance with GAAP.
Single
Definition of a
Higher Education Institution
Issue:
1998 HEA Amendments moved toward enacting a single definition for the
purpose of providing equal access to all Title IV programs. Separate
definitions still remain in Section 101 of the Act.
CCA Proposal:
Revise the Act to include proprietary institutions in Section
101 and delete Section 102.
Federal
Investment in
Postsecondary Education
Issue: The federal grant and loan programs have not kept pace with inflation. Grants now account for less than one fourth of federal financial aid.
CCA Proposal:
Increase funding to the Pell Grant program thereby increasing the maximum
award levels, and explore other innovative proposals such as the concept
of “front-loading” federal grant aid to provide increased assistance
to students during their first two years of postsecondary education.
Increase the loan limits of the subsidized and unsubsidized federal student loans as much as feasible within the constraints of budget considerations, with special consideration given to students who are in year one and two where assistance is often needed the most.
Provisional
Certification
Issue: Provisional certification is a status that carries both limitations and risks that fully certified institutions do not face. The Department of Education takes the position that the Secretary may terminate the provisional certification of institutions as a response to allegations of regulatory violations. In such cases, the institutions do not have the due process protections that would be provided in a Limitation, Suspension & Termination action or an emergency action.
CCA Proposal:The law should be changed to create
an exemption from the requirement that an institution be placed on provisional
certification upon a change of ownership that results in a change in
control when a change transfers ownership to a person or entity that
has an established track record of regulatory compliance, which could
be judged by whether the acquiring institution is itself fully certified
and is permitted to use the advance payment method.
Additionally, the Department’s ability to make ad hoc policy should be replaced with a clear set of rules.
Judicial
Review
Issue: The
Department of Education has used an obscure provision in the HEA to
persuade some federal courts to deny educational institutions their
day in court.
CCA Proposal: Amend Section 432(a)(2) of the HEA to allow court review.
50%
Telecommunications Rule
Issue: During the 1992 HEA Amendments,
Congress enacted the 50% telecommunications rule. The rule stipulates
that institutions are not eligible to participate in Title IV programs
if they offer more than 50% of their courses via telecommunications
or correspondence or if 50% or more of their regularly enrolled students
are enrolled in telecommunications or correspondence courses.
CCA Proposal: CCA supports modification of the 50% rule to allow increased flexibility for students in meeting their educational goals.
Accountability
Issue: The Administration has
indicated that, just as performance measures were the centerpiece of
the recent K-12 reauthorization, it will seek to import into the postsecondary
education arena some measure of institutional effectiveness. CCA
formed a Task Force to formulate recommendations for reasonable, workable
accountability measures in higher education.
CCA Proposal: Create an “Institutional Report Card” based on a general framework with three constituent parts:
• Input measures to assess the resources and capacity to deliver educational services;
• Output measures to provide information on graduations/completions; and
• Outcomes measures to demonstrate value added to students.
Career
College Association
Nicholas
J. Glakas
NickG@career.org
Phone:
202/336-6754
www.career.org